What are the most downloaded movies of 2013? Right now, there aren't any solid numbers, but since it's halfway through the year, I think it's a pretty good time to start guessing what things might end up being on the list.
Without further ado, here is a list of 30 of the potential movies (in alphabetical order) that I can see being on the top 10 most illegally pirated films of 2013 list for TorrentFreak by the end of the year:
Despicable Me 2
Fast and Furious 6
G.I. Joe: Retaliation
The Hangover Part 3
Hansel & Gretel: Witch Hunters
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
Iron Man 3
Jack the Giant Slayer
Man of Steel
Star Trek Into Darkness
This is the End
Thor: The Dark World
White House Down
The World's End
World War Z
Some honorable mentions could be:
Grown Ups 2
As you can see, there are primarily four different categories of films listed here and many of them cross over from one genre to the next.
COMIC BOOK MOVIES
First and foremost, the superhero / Comic-Con audience type films are always a juggernaut when it comes to downloads. Many of the lesser known films, such as Jack the Giant Slayer, RIPD and Red 2 will more than likely not make a ton of money at the box office, but they'll spark the interest of the audience enough for them to download the films for free illegally. Elysium, Ender's Game, and perhaps Oblivion are outsiders in the sense that they appeal to the same group, but don't quite have an incredibly intense backing behind them. Those three all have chances to be sleeper choices, though, considering how well a film like Looper did last year.
Bigger films like Thor: The Dark World, Iron Man 3, and The Wolverine are guaranteed to make it high up on the list. Just take a look at the trends from the past and it seems inevitable. Just look at the amount of buzz surrounding Man of Steel, which I would consider to be one of the most likely candidates for the top ten most downloaded when this year is up.
Mindless action sells well, particularly to men. If you have enough explosions in your trailers, run enough commercials and put a big name star in it, it's likely you'll catch a lot of viewers. This explains why 2 Guns, Fast and Furious 6, Jack Reacher, Machete Kills and White House Down are on the list. Something like Machete Kills has that quirky factor that people eat up, so I wouldn't be surprised if that makes the low end of the top ten.
In a bit of a spinoff of this, Carrie, despite not being an action film, will probably do exceedingly well on its release because of it being in the Halloween season.
It isn't just action that tends to get downloaded, but comedy as well. Don Jon has Joseph Gordon Levitt and Scarlett Johansson working in its favor, but the big gun is The Hangover Part 3. This is the End and The World's End have their devoted followers that will probably not only see those films in the theatre, but also download them afterward to watch multiple times. Grown Ups 2 is an oddball possibility where people may download that film, not wanting to risk spending their money for it and being disappointed, but I don't think it will be popular enough to even get the #10 spot.
A mixture of all those three other categories, animated films have a hindrance in that the target audience is young enough that they wouldn't likely be downloading torrents. However, you don't have to be a child to enjoy these films, and anyone in their teens and twenties knows just how popular they are even in those age brackets. In fact, these people might be more inclined to download the movies rather than pay money to see them in a theatre. Monsters University has the highest chance of being in the top ten, but Despicable Me and Planes are very close. Turbo, and Smurfs 2 all have shots, but much lesser likelihoods of breaking into the top chart.
So which ten films would I assume are probably going to be the ones that officially become the most downloaded of the year? It's a shot in the dark, but I would have to say...
10. Kick-Ass 2 OR The Lone Ranger (can't decide)
9. Man of Steel (hurt by negative reviews)
8. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug (hurt by it's late release)
7. G.I. Joe: Retaliation
6. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
5. Pacific Rim
4. Fast and Furious 6
3. Thor: The Dark World
2. The Hangover Part 3
1. Iron Man 3
Keep checking back to see if there are any updates!
Tony Mango is the owner-operator of Fanboys Anonymous and all branches under A Mango Tree including Smark Out Moment and Out on Limbs. He is a writer, creative director/consultant, media manager and entertainer. You can follow him on Twitter, Facebook and LinkedIn. Extended staff profile here.